Engineering Alpha

Engineering Alpha

Everything You Need to Know About the AUC Metric

What the area under the ROC curve measures, why it became so popular, and when it can mislead you

Sofien Kaabar, CFA's avatar
Sofien Kaabar, CFA
Jul 01, 2026
∙ Paid

Suppose a bank builds a model to predict which borrowers are most likely to default.

The model gives every applicant a score. A borrower with a score of 0.90 is considered riskier than one with a score of 0.30.

The bank then asks a simple question:

Does the model generally assign higher scores to borrowers who eventually default?

The AUC metric is one of th…

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